{"id":16197,"date":"2025-02-13T23:07:01","date_gmt":"2025-02-13T21:07:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.arnoschrauwers.nl\/weblog\/?p=16197"},"modified":"2025-02-25T16:26:09","modified_gmt":"2025-02-25T14:26:09","slug":"planetoide-2024-yr4-zou-op-de-aarde-kunnen-storten","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.arnoschrauwers.nl\/weblog\/13\/02\/2025\/planetoide-2024-yr4-zou-op-de-aarde-kunnen-storten\/","title":{"rendered":"Planeto\u00efde 2024 YR4 zou op de aarde kunnen storten"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"Planeto\u00efde

Planeto\u00efde 2024 YR4 (afb: schermafdruk ESA-stek)<\/p><\/div>\n

Er is volgens de Europese ruimteorganisatie ESA een kleine kans (2%) dat de planeto\u00efde 2024 YR4T op de aarde zal storten<\/a> ergens in december 2032, maar die kans wordt op 25 februari nihil geschat<\/a>. De maan kan nog steeds getroffen worden met een kans van 1,7%. Dat zou dan een klap opleveren met een kracht van een atoombom van 8 megaton (oftewel 500 x de Hirosjimabom), voor zover nu bekend is. Waar die steenklomp (?) van 40 m bij 90 m terecht zou kunnen komen is nog verre van duidelijk. Ook de maan schijnt het ‘doelwit’ van de planeto\u00efde kunnen zijn.
\nHet effect van zo’n botsing is afhankelijk van de samenstelling, snelheid en massa van de planeto\u00efde. Daar is nog niet veel van bekend (het ding is nog erg ver weg). Geschat wordt dat als de klomp op de aarde terecht zou komen dat een verwoestend effect heeft op een stuk aarde met een diameter van 50 km.
\nDie kan volgens berekeningen van de NASA mogelijk neerkomen op een lange strook aarde van het noorden van Zuid-Amerika, het zuiden van Azi\u00eb, het Midden-Oosten en Afrika met een groot stuk Stille en Indische Oceaan daarin. Die kans is dus maar 2%. Het is ook goed mogelijk dat de planeto\u00efde uit materiaal bestaat dat in de aardatmosfeer verbrandt of smelt (ijs).<\/p>\n

Bron: Wired<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Er is volgens de Europese ruimteorganisatie ESA een kleine kans (2%) dat de planeto\u00efde 2024 YR4T op de aarde zal storten ergens in december 2032, maar die kans wordt op 25 februari nihil geschat. De maan kan nog steeds getroffen … Lees verder →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[638,31],"tags":[10509,636,10510,2285,4335,3541,6992,10530],"class_list":["post-16197","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-natuur","category-ruimtevaart","tag-2024-yr4","tag-aarde","tag-atoombom-hirosjima","tag-esa","tag-maan","tag-nasa","tag-planetoide-inslag","tag-trefkans"],"yoast_head":"\nPlaneto\u00efde 2024 YR4 zou op de aarde kunnen storten - Geleerd uitschot<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Er is een kleine kans (2% volgens de ESA) dat de planeto\u00efde 2024 YR4 in december 2032 op de aarde terecht zal komen.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.arnoschrauwers.nl\/weblog\/13\/02\/2025\/planetoide-2024-yr4-zou-op-de-aarde-kunnen-storten\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"nl_NL\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Planeto\u00efde 2024 YR4 zou op de aarde kunnen storten - 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